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Ukraine’s drone edge is becoming a Middle East export—while Washington delays the deal

Ukraine is waiting for White House approval of a major drone production agreement proposed last year, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said, even as Ukrainian know-how and equipment are being positioned to help partners in the Middle East defend against Iranian-designed drone swarms.

Why Ukraine says a U. S. drone production deal is still unsigned

Zelenskyy said Thursday that Ukraine has not yet had the opportunity to sign the proposed U. S. -Ukraine document because White House approval remains pending. He described the proposal as covering various types of drones and air defenses that would operate as a single system—built to protect against swarms numbering in the hundreds or even thousands of Iranian-designed Shahed drones and missiles.

The timing is politically charged. Zelenskyy indicated the conflict unfolding in the Middle East could prompt American officials to sign the proposal. His argument is rooted in capability: Ukraine has spent years under mass drone attack and has had to innovate quickly, developing “cut-price drone killers” that he says have rewritten the air defense rule book.

At the same time, Zelenskyy framed drone production agreements as more than procurement. He said such arrangements could help Ukraine lock in future foreign support in its effort to thwart Russia’s invasion and potentially provide diplomatic leverage in negotiations with Moscow—an arena now complicated by the fact that U. S. -mediated talks aimed at stopping the war are on hold due to the Iran war.

What the Iran war revealed—and the tools Ukraine says it built first

As the United States and its allies faced swarms of cheap, easily replaceable Iranian drones in the first days of the Iran war, a strategic mismatch became visible: advanced, expensive air-defense systems were being used against low-cost targets. In this framing, Ukraine sees itself as the country with the deepest practical experience countering that exact problem.

Zelenskyy has drawn a direct line between the drones launched in the Middle East and those that have hit Ukrainian cities, villages, and infrastructure. In a separate statement, he said Iranian attack drones are the same “shaheds” that have been striking Ukraine throughout the war. Kyiv’s experience is extensive: Russia has fired tens of thousands of Iranian-designed Shahed drones at Ukraine since the full-scale invasion began just over four years ago, and it has also launched a swarm of more than 800 drones and decoys in what was described as its biggest nighttime barrage.

Ukraine’s response has been to develop multiple approaches for downing drones—ranging from lasers to AI-enabled interceptor drones. Oleksandr Kamyshin, an adviser to Zelenskyy on arms production, said this innovation would be useful for partners facing Iranian drone attacks now. Ukrainian-government estimates place Ukraine’s overall success rate against Shaheds at about 90 percent.

The contradiction, as presented by Ukrainian officials, is not about whether the capability exists, but about whether it has been systematically integrated by the United States into planning and procurement before the Iran operation began. Zelenskyy said he had not received direct requests to share expertise before that offensive and that he had not discussed the matter with anyone.

Where Ukraine is already sending help—while Washington weighs approval

After Zelenskyy said there had been no direct requests for Ukraine’s drone-defense expertise, his posture shifted quickly. He began calls with U. S. allies in the Middle East, including the leaders of Qatar, Jordan, Bahrain, and the United Arab Emirates. Zelenskyy said those countries have faced a barrage of Iranian drones in recent days and that Ukraine has agreed to send them personnel and equipment to help defend against such attacks.

Zelenskyy said Ukrainian experts will operate on-site and that teams are already coordinating these efforts. The deployment underscores a reversal: Ukraine, long the recipient of external support, is now exporting operational expertise and tools into an active regional crisis.

This outward push comes as Zelenskyy continues diplomacy in Europe. He arrived Thursday in NATO member Romania, ahead of a visit to French President Emmanuel Macron in Paris. In Bucharest, he was set to meet Romanian President Nicușor Dan and Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan and to visit a training center for Ukraine’s F-16 pilots. Romania has been a key corridor for Ukrainian grain exports during the war and has provided energy support as Russian forces have targeted Ukraine’s power grid.

The money trail: oil revenue, sanctions enforcement, and the strategic squeeze

Beyond drones, Zelenskyy’s travel and messaging sit against an economic backdrop that Ukraine’s leadership views as directly tied to battlefield endurance. New research by the nonprofit Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air indicated that Russian oil revenue—described as crucial for Moscow’s war effort—has risen since the Iran war began.

The group found Russia’s daily revenue from oil sales during the Middle East conflict has been on average 14% higher than in February, as the conflict brought a sharp increase in the price of crude. For Kyiv, this is not an abstract statistic: it suggests the Iran war may be indirectly improving Russia’s capacity to fund its invasion even as Ukraine seeks to secure longer-term defense manufacturing partnerships.

Macron’s office said his talks with Zelenskyy will focus on countering Russia’s so-called shadow fleet of tankers that ship oil in violation of international sanctions but are hard to stop. In this context, Ukraine’s push for drone production capacity and integrated air-defense systems intersects with a parallel campaign: tightening enforcement against oil shipments that sustain Russia’s war effort.

Verified facts: Zelenskyy said Ukraine is awaiting White House approval for a major drone production agreement and said Ukraine has not yet had the opportunity to sign the document; he described it as an integrated system to counter Shahed drones and missiles. He said Ukraine agreed to send personnel and equipment to Qatar, Jordan, Bahrain, and the United Arab Emirates, and said Ukrainian experts will operate on-site. The Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air reported Russia’s daily oil revenue during the Middle East conflict averaged 14% higher than in February. Macron’s office said talks will focus on countering Russia’s shadow fleet.

Informed analysis: The sequence presented by Ukrainian officials suggests a gap between immediate operational demand in the Middle East and slower-moving U. S. decisions on industrial cooperation. If Ukraine’s on-the-ground deployments expand while the production agreement remains unsigned, the result could be a two-track dynamic: Ukraine exporting expertise tactically, while strategic manufacturing collaboration remains stalled at the approval stage.

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