Nick Folk and the 49ers’ kicker contradiction: paying for certainty after a one-game shakeup

Nick Folk is a useful lens for a simple, uncomfortable question raised by the San Francisco 49ers’ latest decision: when a team finally finds stability at kicker after chaos, how much certainty is too much to buy?
Why did San Francisco lock in Eddy Pineiro for four years?
San Francisco 49ers kicker Eddy Pineiro agreed to terms on a four-year, $17 million contract that includes $10 million guaranteed, as NFL Network Insider Ian Rapoport reported on Saturday. The move follows a rapid pivot the 49ers made during the 2025 season, when the team waived kicker Jake Moody one game into the year and handed the job to Pineiro starting in Week 2.
The immediate on-field return was striking. In 2025, Pineiro made 28 of 29 field goals, including six of seven from 50-plus yards, and finished as the league leader at 96. 6% on field goals. He also made 34 of 38 extra points. The contract signals the organization’s intent to remove uncertainty at a position that had become unstable, and to treat 2025 as proof that Pineiro is more than a short-term fix.
The internal logic, as presented in the available details, is clear: the 49ers saw Pineiro “re-emerge as one of the league’s best kickers” and a “reliable part” of a team led by Kyle Shanahan that “weathered plenty of adversity” on the way to another postseason appearance. After a one-game decision on Moody, the franchise effectively chose to turn a midseason solution into a multi-year commitment.
What do the performance numbers reveal—and what do they leave unresolved?
The performance case for Eddy Pineiro rests on both season-specific dominance and longer-term consistency. His 2025 field-goal line (28 of 29) and his 50-plus production (six of seven) are paired with career conversion rates of 89. 7% on field goals (139 of 155) and 91. 5% on extra points (150 of 164). Those are the concrete results cited alongside the team’s decision to keep him “for the foreseeable future. ”
But the same set of facts also exposes the contract’s central tension: Pineiro’s 2025 season displayed elite accuracy on field goals, while his extra-point performance that year (34 of 38) included misses. Another perspective in the provided record also highlights that “for whatever reason, Pineiro has struggled with extra-points in his career, ” even while noting he has the higher made field-goal percentage in the comparison being discussed.
This is where Nick Folk becomes a shorthand for the broader issue fans often wrestle with at kicker: the position is judged on makes and misses, but teams pay to eliminate the anxiety that comes with the next kick. Pineiro’s 2025 output offered that calm on field goals—nearly perfect results—yet the extra-point misses keep the story from being a clean, total victory lap.
Could the 49ers have spent less for a different kind of stability?
A second angle raised in the available material is straightforward: the 49ers “could have saved a lot of money by reuniting with a different kicker. ” The alternative named is Matt Gay, who signed with the 49ers last season when Pineiro injured his hamstring and “filled in nicely in the few games he played” for San Francisco.
Gay’s small sample with the 49ers is perfect in the cited attempts: four field goals made on four tries and three extra points made on three tries. The argument for thrift is that Gay “would have come at a much cheaper price” than the $17 million committed to Pineiro, potentially on a one-year deal that would have freed money for other roster needs.
Yet the same record also explains why that cheaper path comes with risk. Gay’s availability stemmed from a difficult stretch with Washington, where he was released after missing two field goals in a game overseas, and he made 13 of 19 field-goal attempts with Washington. The tension is not hypothetical; it is embedded in the numbers: a clean, limited run in San Francisco versus a broader, more uneven season elsewhere.
San Francisco’s choice, then, reads as a bet on the larger body of work it directly benefited from: Pineiro took over in Week 2 after Moody was waived and “only missed one field-goal attempt all year. ” The roster-building counterargument—saving money by going cheaper—exists, but so does the practical reality the team just lived through: instability at kicker, then a sudden swing to near-automatic field goals.
Nick Folk enters the conversation here not as a claim about any specific negotiation, but as a reminder that teams and fans often measure kickers by a blend of cost, confidence, and the pain of recent memory. The 49ers’ memory is a one-game hook: the position was volatile enough that Moody was waived after Week 1, and the replacement stabilized it immediately.
What the 49ers ultimately purchased is not only Eddy Pineiro’s 2025 production—28 of 29 on field goals, six of seven from 50-plus, and a league-leading 96. 6%—but insulation from the kind of early-season emergency that forced their hand last time. Whether that insulation is worth $17 million with $10 million guaranteed is the debate the contract invites, and Nick Folk is the simplest framing of it: in a league where one kick can define a week, certainty is expensive, and San Francisco just chose to pay it.




