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Donte Johnson opens as a heavy favorite ahead of UFC 326 showdown

donte johnson is scheduled to fight Cody Brundage at UFC 326 on Saturday, March 7, 2026, with early betting lines listing Johnson as a pronounced favorite. The opening moneyline posted Johnson at -900 and Brundage at +600, immediately framing this as a bout where expectations sit heavily on one side. The matchup arrives with clear, measurable differences in recent performance indicators and baseline fight metrics laid out ahead of Saturday night.

UFC 326 matchup: donte johnson vs Cody Brundage, odds and baseline measurements

The bout pairs Donte “Lock Jaw” Johnson, listed at 7-0-0, against Cody Brundage, listed at 11-8-1 (1 NC), both fighting at 185 lbs. Johnson is described as a 27-year-old southpaw at 5’8″ with a 74″ reach, while Brundage is described as a 31-year-old orthodox fighter at 6’0″ with a 72″ reach.

Those numbers don’t settle fights on their own, but they set the table for the styles suggested by the statistical breakdown that follows. The most immediate headline from the betting market is the gap: Johnson’s -900 line versus Brundage’s +600, a spread that signals a steep uphill climb for Brundage on paper entering UFC 326.

Strike and defense snapshot heading into Saturday night

In significant striking output, Johnson is listed at 3. 34 significant strikes landed per minute, compared with Brundage at 2. 29. Efficiency also tilts toward Johnson: he is listed as connecting on 64% of significant strikes thrown, while Brundage is listed at 50%.

On defense and damage absorbed, the split is similarly sharp in the numbers provided. Johnson is listed as taking 1. 87 significant strikes per minute, while Brundage is listed at taking 3. 03. Defensively, Johnson is listed as defending 58% of opponents’ significant strikes, while Brundage is listed at 49%.

These figures, taken together, paint a picture of a fighter who lands more, lands cleaner, and absorbs less—one of the reasons the market has installed donte johnson as such a strong favorite ahead of the opening bell.

Grappling edge and finishing indicators

The wrestling numbers presented show an even more dramatic contrast. Johnson is listed as scoring 6. 01 takedowns per 3 rounds, converting takedown attempts at 100%, and defending 80% of opponents’ takedown tries. Brundage, by comparison, is listed as completing takedowns on 44% of attempts and stopping 68% of the takedown tries against him.

In submission/finishing activity, Johnson is listed as going for 2. 0 finishes per 3 rounds, while Brundage is listed at 0. 6 finishes per 15 minutes. While the measurement windows differ in how they’re presented, the overall signal in the provided breakdown points to Johnson being the more active finisher entering UFC 326.

Immediate reactions: what the most recent fight results show

The clearest “reaction” available in the provided material is the result line from each fighter’s most recent bout described.

In Johnson’s previous fight, he faced Sedriques Dumas and won by guillotine choke in round 2. In that contest, Dumas landed 12 of 23 total strikes, while Johnson landed 18 of 27 total strikes. On significant strikes, Dumas landed 5 of 16 (31%), while Johnson landed 10 of 18 (55%). The breakdown also notes Johnson landed 9 of 17 significant strikes to the head.

In Brundage’s most recent fight listed, he faced Cam Rowston and lost by a punch to the head while on the ground in round 2. Brundage landed 29 of 65 significant strikes (44%) and landed 22 of 58 significant strikes to the head. Rowston, in the same fight, landed 57 of 119 significant strikes, with 41 of 96 to the head, and landed 73 of 139 total strikes.

Quick context and what’s next at UFC 326

This UFC 326 pairing is being framed early by both the opening odds and the statistical comparisons, with Johnson holding advantages in listed striking accuracy, damage absorbed, and takedown effectiveness.

What’s next is straightforward and immediate: the numbers give the outline, but Saturday, March 7, 2026 (ET) is when those margins get tested in real time inside the cage. For Brundage, the task is disrupting a favorite’s rhythm; for donte johnson, the pressure is matching expectations set by a wide opening line and the performance indicators leading into UFC 326.

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